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Commentary on the present and future of culture, politics, economics, and social values................... "At any given instant/All solids dissolve, no wheels revolve,/And facts have no endurance." W.H. Auden.

Monday, November 08, 2004

BUSH AND THE HISPANIC VOTE

The postmortem on the presidential election continues as new statistics keep coming in.

It is now established that President Bush won 44% of the Hispanic vote. That is up 9% from his 2000 vote of 35%.

If that trend continues and the pro-Republican Hispanic vote soon surpasses 50%, that plus the 62% of white male voters who vote Republlican could easily assure a Republican victory in the 2008 presidential race.

The significance of this Hispanic vote for Bush should worry Democrats. They have long believed that have a lock of the Hispanic vote as tight as that on the African American vote. It is clear they do not: they are losing it.

In fact, the surprise that looms ahead for the Democratic Party in 2008 is that it will lose its lock on the African American vote.

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